Monday, September 04, 2023

Meteorologists release early predictions for Summit County’s 2023-24 ski season based on historic El Nino data

 #breckenridge #realestate #coloradorealestate


Meteorologists have released early predictions for what the 2023-24 ski season could look like in Summit County and across Colorado. 

While experts maintain that nothing is certain and that their tools for predicting snowfall this early remain limited, one atmospheric weather pattern is providing some clues.

“For the upcoming winter season, an El Nino looks to be in store, and better yet, current sea surface temperatures are showing a strenghting El Nino event,” wrote OpenSnow meteorologist Sam Collentine in an Aug. 30 post.

But the relationship between El Nino and the state’s snowfall tends to be a mixed bag, Collentine wrote. For example, data shows the 30-year median for snow water equivalent (the amount of water held in snow) for Copper Mountain Resort on March 31 is 14.6 inches, according to Collentine. When comparing Copper’s median for each of the past seven significant El Niño years dating back to 1982, just three were above normal. The high was 16.5 inches in 2002-03, Collentine wrote.

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